A survey prepared by Ágora Integral shows that the so-called 'Pacto de las Flores' (Pact of the Flowers), formed by PSOE, NC, ASG and Podemos, could revalidate the absolute majority in the event that regional elections were held now.
The survey, published this Sunday in 'Diario de Avisos', 'Canarias 7' and collected by Europa Press, is based on an initial macro-survey of 4,550 telephone interviews in November and a recent update with 800 interviews.
According to the survey, if elections were held, the PSOE could win one more seat thanks to the autonomous constituency, bringing it to 26 deputies, while the main opposition party, Coalición Canaria, could lose between 1 and 2.
The Partido Popular, which currently has 11 representatives in the autonomous chamber, would obtain a similar figure, moving in a range of 10 or 12 deputies, which would mean losing or gaining one seat.
As for the other members of the 'Pacto de las Flores', Nueva Canarias would obtain the same result as in the last regional elections and would maintain its 5 deputies, as would Podemos, which would continue with 4, and ASG, with 3 representatives.
Unlike what happened in the elections held in May 2019, Vox could enter the Parliament of the Canary Islands for the first time with 2 seats, which would endanger the presence of Cs in the Chamber, which moves with a range of 0 and 2 seats.
In comparison with the past elections, the main changes would occur in the autonomous constituency, which would benefit the Partido Socialista and Partido Popular and harm Coalición Canaria.
In Gran Canaria, the party led by Australia Navarro would go down and Cs could lose the seat currently occupied by Vidina Espino, benefiting other parties such as Vox, which would obtain a place in the Legislative Chamber.
In Tenerife, Coalición Canaria could lose one of the seats it won in the last elections and, as would happen in Gran Canaria, Cs would run the risk of losing its only representative. For its part, Vox would win a seat for the first time.
In Fuerteventura, Lanzarote, La Palma, El Hierro and La Gomera there are no variations in the estimates.
The result, if that estimate were to become reality, is that the 'Pacto de las Flores' could be re-edited, even reinforcing its majority, while the option of an alliance between Coalición Canaria and the conservative spectrum is complicated by not reaching an absolute majority.
